Anthony Mirhaydari

Market internals weaken

While stocks continue to flirt with new rally highs, trouble brews beneath the surface.
A slew of short-term technical indicators are falling out of overbought territory including various stochastic and momentum measures. Breadth continues to narrow,…

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Brazilian stocks plummet on tax hike

Brazil’s finance ministry announced late Monday that the country will impose a 2% tax on foreign inflows into the country’s stock and bond markets as policymakers try to stem the rise of their currency, the real, which is up 23% this year. Brazilian …

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Credit losses threaten bank recovery

The Dow Industrials tumbled back under the psychologically important 10,000 threshold on Friday after some surprisingly bad news from the banks jarred the bulls out of their complacency.
Bank of America (BAC) reported a third-quarter loss of $2.2 bil…

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Stock bulls await the dollar’s collapse

While the primary trend for stocks continues to arch skyward, we are beginning to see equity traders react to some new developments over in the world of fixed-income, commodities, and currencies. This has made for choppy trading over the last few day…

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The rebirth of the American consumer

Don’t look now, but a nation of shoppers is about to be reborn. Thanks to rising stock prices, stabilizing home values, increased savings, improved confidence in the economy, and reduced debt, there is building evidence that the quintessentially Amer…

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Stock-to-gold ratio at a decision point

After removing the inflationary effects of the Fed’s dollar printing, stocks are now sitting at the lows reached after the swoon in early September. By looking at the relative performance of the S&P 500 to gold futures, investors are nearing some…

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Federal Reserve restarts the money pump

Stocks should soon start enjoying the benefits of a renewed surge in liquidity courtesy of the Federal Reserve.
Although the Fed pulled the punch bowl away in one area, by announcing the discontinuation of its direct debt purchases back on September …

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Why stocks look oversold

Since the Federal Reserve announced on September 23 that it would not be extending its direct purchases of mortgages and U.S. Treasuries, stocks have lost more than 4%. At the time, I wondered if the Fed had killed the bull market.
While that remains…

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Is there hope for the labor market?

Friday saw the release of the latest employment situation report and boy was it a doozy. Payrolls fell by another 263,000 in September, well under the consensus estimate of a loss of 170,000. The unemployment rate inched higher to 9.8% — which now s…

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A new bull market — in Treasury bonds?

As investors are distracted by the volatility in the stock market, boring ol’ Treasury bonds have been going wild. Since August 10, the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) has gained 9.4% versus a 4.6% return for the S&P 500.
This is all qu…

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Did the Fed just kill the bull market?

Well, that was interesting. After the Federal Reserve announced on Wednesday it would leave interest rates unchanged, stocks initially bounded higher before abruptly shifting direction and screaming lower. The bulls gunned the Dow Industrial Ave…

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Has the stock rally gone too far?

From a strictly short term point of view, stocks are overbought as they cruise towards heavy resistance at 1,121 on the S&P 500. This means they could pause here for a few days to a few weeks trading sideways or marginally down. This observation …

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Is the ‘junk’ stock rally ending?

With the major indices trading near new highs, there is evidence that the most recent phase of the advance was fueled by the lowest quality stocks. And it looks like the tide could be turning.
Some of this has been caused by a scramble into the riski…

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